In the last of a four-game series between the Tampa Bay Rays (19-16) and the New York Yankees (19-16) at Tropicana Field, Erasmo Ramirez (0-1, 8.38 ERA) and Chase Whitley (1-1, 3.06 ERA) get the ball. The Rays won the last game 3-2 and Tampa Bay leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 14 and will air on PIX11, SunSports and MLB Net.
In his last start, Ramirez pitched 2.0 innings, giving up two runs and striking out two in an 11-5 loss to the Yankees. In his career against the Rays, Whitley is 1-0 with a 1.00 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Tampa Bay offense that's batting just .235. Chris Young (.303, 12 Rs, 6 HRs, 12 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Tampa Bay is a small +102 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Rays have a 10-8 record and overall money line at +272. They have an SU record of 15-13 against teams in their division and an 8-7 record when they were the underdog in those games. Division games have been tough for the Rays. Tampa Bay has only averaged 3.4 runs per game compared to its 3.8 season average. As for the pitching staff, the Rays don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking second in the league with a 1.15 WHIP. An area where the Rays are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 9.4 K's per home game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Yankees come into this game with a solid win percentage of .647 when playing as the favorite (11-6) and an overall money line of +692. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 4-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 5-5. New York is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 115 extra base hits. The Yankees are a problem for opposing batters, sporting an AL-low 3.33 ERA this season. The New York pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.9 strikeouts per game.
The Yankees have mostly come out on top against the Rays in their previous nine games this season, earning a 6-3 record. The Rays will take on a right-hander (Whitley) in this game and have a 15-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Yankees will be the right-hander Ramirez. Right-handed starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport a 16-9 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
NY Yankees are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games.
NY Yankees are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games on the road.
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay.
NY Yankees are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.
In their last game, the Yankees lost by a margin of one run. The Rays are 5-6 in one-run games. The Yankees have a 7-5 record in close games.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Yankees have a 7-7 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Rays have a slight leg up on the Yankees, as the Rays have won their last two games while the Yankees have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Yankees are 13-2. The Rays have a 14-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Tampa Bay has earned 133 this season. New York ranks sixth with 164 runs.
Ranking 12th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 113 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 121.
When the Rays hit at least one home run, they are 12-9. When the Yankees hit at least one homer, they have a 17-8 record.