David Phelps (2-0, 2.90 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (16-19) meet Julio Teheran (3-1, 4.74 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (15-19) in the first of a three-game division series at Marlins Park. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 15 and will air on FSN-S and FSN-FL.
In his most recent outing, Phelps pitched 6.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out three and walking one in a 6-2 victory over the Giants. Dee Gordon (.426, 20 Rs, 12 RBIs, 12 SBs) played well again Wednesday, going 4 for 5 with two runs. In his career against the Marlins, Teheran is 5-1 with a 2.64 ERA. He meets a strong Miami offense that's batting .267.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Marlins have an SU record of 12-13 against teams in their division. Whenever an NL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Marlins pitch better. They allow an average of 4.1 runs per game, but allow just 3.6 against teams from their own division. The Marlins are second in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 7.7 per game.
Against divisional foes, the Braves are 10-14 SU. The Braves average just 6.2 strikeouts per game, good for least in the NL.
The Braves have mostly come out on top against the Marlins in their previous six games this season, earning a 4-2 record. The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Teheran) in this game and have an 11-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Braves will be the right-hander Phelps. They sport a 13-17 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL
The Marlins hold a 12-13 record this season against teams in the NL East Division. The Braves' record in these matchups is 10-14.
When the Marlins play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Braves are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 11-6. The Marlins have a 14-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top half of the league based on total runs this season, Miami ranks 12th with 145 runs and Atlanta is 15th with 143.
Ranking 20th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 94 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 13th with 110.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 7-9. When the Braves hit at least one homer, they have an 11-7 record.