In the first of a three-game series between the New York Mets (20-15) and the Milwaukee Brewers (20-15) at Citi Field, Bartolo Colon (6-1, 3.30 ERA) and Kyle Lohse (2-4, 7.03 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 15 and will air on FSN-WI and SNY.
Colon has a 3.97 ERA and a 3-1 record in his career against the Brewers, and faces a less-than-stellar Milwaukee offense that's hitting just .228 on the year. Lucas Duda (.296, 19 Rs, 3 HRs, 13 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his career against the Mets, Lohse is 2-4 with a 4.68 ERA. He gets a struggling New York offense that's batting just .236. Ryan Braun (.248, 20 Rs, 6 HRs, 18 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday.
New York is a -148 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 15-3 record and have an overall money line of +650. New York has averaged 2.4 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 3.7. The Mets typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.3 walks per home game. New York's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Mets have a team ERA of 2.99, one of the lowest in their league. The Mets don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking third in the league with a 1.16 WHIP.
On the other side, the Brewers have a subpar record of 8-13 when they are the underdog and are -1,054 overall with the money line. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.1 runs per game, above their 3.8 season average.
The Mets will take on a right-hander (Lohse) in this game. They have done very well against right-handed starting pitchers this season (17-10), especially at home where they have a 12-2 record. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Colon. They sport a 10-17 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 12-5, while Milwaukee is 5-8.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 7-14 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 4-18. The Mets have a 7-12 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, New York has hit 26 this season. Milwaukee ranks 11th with 33 home runs.
New York and Milwaukee both rank in the top half of the league in hits. New York sits at 13th with 7.59 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 15th with 7.51.
New York and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 27th with an OPS of .657 and Milwaukee ranks 26th with an OPS of .663.
The Brewers are 9-18 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mets are 10-10 when they allow at least one homer.