Dallas Keuchel (4-0, 1.39 ERA) gets the start for the Houston Astros (22-13) as they meet R.A. Dickey (1-4, 5.00 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (17-19) in the second of a four-game series at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 6-4 and Houston leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 15 and will air on RSN and ROOT-SW.
Keuchel has a 2.95 ERA and a 2-0 record in his career against the Blue Jays, but faces a solid Toronto offense that's hitting .259 on the year. Jose Altuve (.333, 19 Rs, 4 HRs, 21 RBIs, 13 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs and two stolen bases. In his pitching opportunities against the Astros, Dickey is 2-4 with a 4.52 ERA. He gets a struggling Houston offense that's batting just .226. Josh Donaldson (.312, 27 Rs, 8 HRs, 24 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Houston is a -127 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Astros are 6-7 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +811. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the favorite (1-4). Houston has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Houston has only averaged 2.7 runs per game compared to the 4.3 they've averaged on the season. The Astros rank fifth in the majors in extra base hits with 109. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking second in all of baseball with 38 steals. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Houston pitchers. The Astros have given up an average of 4.9 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 3.9 runs per game. The Astros don't allow many hitters to get on base, leading the league with a 1.12 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Blue Jays come into this game with a weak win percentage of .368 when playing as the underdog (7-12) and an overall money line of -197. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-4 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. Toronto is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 120 extra base hits.
The only other game between the two teams went Houston's way. The Astros will take on a right-hander (Dickey) in this game and have a 12-9 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Keuchel will take the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 5-1 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
Toronto has won 62% (8-5) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Houston has won 67% (10-5) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Astros are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded one strikeout. The Blue Jays have a record of 1-1 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
It looks like the Astros have a slight leg up on the Blue Jays, as the Astros have won their last two games while the Blue Jays have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 12-4. The Blue Jays have a 15-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 189 this season. Houston ranks 12th with 151 runs.
Houston and Toronto both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Houston sits at sixth with 122 this season and Toronto ranks ninth with 117.
The Astros are 16-8 when they hit at least one home run. The Blue Jays perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 14-8 record.