Odrisamer Despaigne (2-1, 5.13 ERA) and Jordan Zimmermann (2-2, 4.20 ERA) take the hill in the second of a four-game series between the San Diego Padres (19-17) and the Washington Nationals (19-17) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 8-3 and San Diego leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 15 and can be seen on MASN2 and FSN-SD.
Despaigne pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering eight runs, striking out one and walking one in an 11-0 defeat to the Diamondbacks. Justin Upton (.282, 25 Rs, 8 HRs, 25 RBIs, 8 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs and one RBI. Zimmermann is 2-2 with a 1.90 ERA when pitching against the Padres. He is up against a good San Diego offense which is hitting .256 this season. Denard Span (.321, 17 Rs, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one stolen base.
Washington is a slim -113 favorite over San Diego. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently six runs. The Padres have an overall money line of +20 and a record as the underdog of 8-11. The Padres have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in home offense with 4.7 runs per game. San Diego is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 28 bases. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank third in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.5.
In games where it is the favorite, Washington has a 16-12 record and an overall money line of -159. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-2 record, and an 8-2 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.8 runs per game, which is good for third in the NL. Washington is excellent at drawing walks with 3.3 per game, ranking fourth in the NL. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the Nationals have the third-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game.
The Padres have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Padres have a 12-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Zimmermann takes the mound. Despaigne (RHP) will be on the hill against the Nationals, who have a 13-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
Washington 6-1-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Washington 7-2-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road.
Washington 15-7-1 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Diego.
When leading after 7 innings, San Diego is 10-6, while Washington is 10-7.
The Padres managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Nationals who are coming in with an 11-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 2-14. The Nationals have a 5-16 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego ranks in the top half of the league at 11th when it comes to home runs, hitting 33 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 38.
San Diego and Washington both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. San Diego sits at seventh with 8.80 hits per game and Washington ranks eighth with 8.71.
Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.716). Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .732.
The Nationals are 5-8 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Padres are 11-14 when they allow at least one homer.