In the second of a three-game series between the New York Mets (20-16) and the Milwaukee Brewers (20-16) at Citi Field, Jacob deGrom (3-4, 3.46 ERA) and Matt Garza (2-4, 4.04 ERA) get the ball. The Mets lost the last game 7-0, extending a five-game losing streak. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 16 and will air on FSN-WI and SNY.
deGrom has a 2.25 ERA and a 1-1 record in his career against the Brewers, and faces a struggling Milwaukee offense that's hitting just .229 on the year. Wilmer Flores (.240, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 11 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. In his career against the Mets, Garza is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar New York offense that's batting just .233. Ryan Braun (.256, 22 Rs, 8 HRs, 21 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and three RBIs.
New York is a -144 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Mets have a winning record of 15-3 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +550. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, ranking fifth in the NL with an average of 3.3 walks per game. New York's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Mets have a team ERA of 3.03, one of the lowest in their league. The Mets are third in the league in WHIP at 1.16.
Moving on to the away team, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of .381 when playing as the underdog (8-13) and an overall money line of -1,054. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.1 runs per game, above their 3.8 season average.
The only other game between the two teams went Milwaukee's way. The Mets will take on a right-hander (Garza) in this game. They have done very well against right-handed starting pitchers this season (17-10), especially at home where they have a 12-2 record. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander deGrom. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport a 10-17 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
After last game's shutout win against the New York Mets, the Brewers now have two shutouts this season. The Mets have been shut out in three games this season.
In extra innings, the Brewers are 1-1.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 4-7 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 9-2. The Mets have an 11-2 record when outhitting opponents.
New York and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. New York sits at 25th with 130 runs this season and Milwaukee ranks 21st with 140.
Ranking 25th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 84 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 99.
The Mets are 12-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 12-9 when they hit at least one homer.