Mike Leake (2-1, 2.36 ERA) gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds (18-18) as they go up against Ryan Vogelsong (1-2, 5.67 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (18-18) in the third of a four-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Giants won the last game 10-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 16 and will air on CSN-BAY and FSN-OH.
Leake is 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA against the Giants in his career, and faces a solid San Francisco offense that's hitting .261 on the year. Todd Frazier (.250, 25 Rs, 12 HRs, 23 RBIs, 6 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4. In his career against the Reds, Vogelsong is 3-4 with a 4.52 ERA. He meets a struggling Cincinnati offense that's batting just .239. Brandon Crawford (.263, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 18 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Cincinnati is a -130 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Reds perform well as a favorite with a 10-6 record and have an overall money line of +138. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Reds are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 43 steals.
On the other side, the Giants have a record of 9-8 when they are the underdog and are -222 overall with the money line. The Giants average 3.3 walks per road game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL when they travel.
The Reds will take on a right-hander (Vogelsong) in this game and have a 14-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Leake will take the mound against the Giants, who have an 11-15 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Cincinnati is 6-8, while San Francisco is 3-5.
The Reds managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are coming in with a 7-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 3-10. The Reds have a 5-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, San Francisco has hit 23 this season. Cincinnati ranks third with 45 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.89 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.89.
Cincinnati and San Francisco both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Cincinnati sits at 16th with an OPS of .709 and San Francisco ranks 19th with an OPS of .706.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 7-12, well-matched with the Reds who are 10-15 when allowing at least one homer.