Scott Feldman (2-4, 5.23 ERA) and Marco Estrada (1-2, 3.54 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Houston Astros (23-13) and the Toronto Blue Jays (17-20) at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 8-4 and Houston leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 16 and can be seen on RSN and ROOT-SW.
Feldman is 2-4 with a 5.08 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, and goes up against a quality Toronto offense which is batting .258 this season. Jose Altuve (.338, 20 Rs, 5 HRs, 24 RBIs, 13 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. Estrada is 1-0 with a 3.04 ERA when pitching against the Astros. He is up against a below-average Houston offense which is hitting just .229 this season. Josh Donaldson (.310, 27 Rs, 8 HRs, 25 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Houston is a slim -110 favorite at home against Toronto. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently nine runs. The Astros have an overall money line of +911 and a record as the favorite of 7-7. The Astros have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. The Astros are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 115. Houston is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 38 bases. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Astros are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.12 so far this season.
In the other locker room, Toronto is coming in with an overall money line of -303 and a disappointing record of 7-13 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 5-5 record SU. The Blue Jays have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 121 extra base hits. The Blue Jays allow 4.8 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.4 runs per game during that span.
The Astros have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Astros have a 13-9 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Estrada takes the mound. Feldman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 12-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Houston is 11-5, while Toronto is 8-6.
The Astros are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Blue Jays have a record of 6-10 when they are struck out that many times or more.
It looks like the Astros have a slight leg up on the Blue Jays, as the Astros have won their last three games while the Blue Jays have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 13-4. The Blue Jays have a 15-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto tops the league in runs with 193 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 159.
Houston and Toronto both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Houston sits at seventh with 122 this season and Toronto ranks eighth with 120.
When the Astros hit at least one home run, they are 17-8, well-matched with the Blue Jays who are 14-8 when hitting one or more homers.