Andrew Cashner (1-6, 3.07 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (19-18) take on Max Scherzer (3-3, 1.99 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (20-17) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the third of a four-game series at Petco Park. The Nationals won the last game 10-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:40 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 16 and can be seen on MASN2 and FSN-SD.
Cashner is 2-2 with a 3.76 ERA in his appearances against the Nationals, and goes up against a quality Washington offense which is batting .261 this season. Justin Upton (.284, 25 Rs, 8 HRs, 25 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. When pitching against the Padres, Scherzer is 1-2 with a 3.41 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and 41 strikeouts. Bryce Harper (.317, 32 Rs, 13 HRs, 33 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Nationals, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Washington takes on San Diego as a -121 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at six runs. The Padres have an overall money line of +120 and a record as the underdog of 8-11. The Padres have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in home offense with 4.7 runs per game. San Diego is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 28 bases. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank third in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.5.
In games where it is the favorite, Washington has a 16-12 record and an overall money line of -259. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.7 runs per game, which is good for third in the NL. Washington is excellent at drawing walks with 3.3 per game, ranking fourth in the NL. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the Nationals have the third-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game.
The Padres have a 13-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Scherzer takes the mound. Cashner (RHP) will be on the hill against the Nationals, who have a 13-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Nationals won by a margin of 10 runs. The Padres are 2-3 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Nationals have a 2-0 record in blowouts.
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 11-7, while San Diego is 10-7.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Padres are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Nationals have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 2-15. The Nationals have a 5-16 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 14th in home runs, San Diego has hit 33 this season. Washington ranks eighth with 39 home runs.
San Diego and Washington both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. San Diego sits at seventh with 8.80 hits per game and Washington ranks eighth with 8.71.
Ranking 15th, San Diego is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.709). Washington ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .740.
When the Nationals allow at least one home run, they are 5-8. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have an 11-15 record.