Kyle Gibson (3-2, 2.70 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (21-16) square off against Chris Archer (3-4, 2.59 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (20-18) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the last of a three-game series at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 6-4 and Minnesota leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 17 and can be seen on SunSports and FSN-N.
Gibson is 0-3 with a 9.98 ERA in his appearances against the Rays, but goes up against a below-average Tampa Bay offense which is batting just .237 this season. Torii Hunter (.285, 21 Rs, 6 HRs, 21 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. Archer is 3-0 with a 0.49 ERA when pitching against the Twins. He is up against a good Minnesota offense which is hitting .261 this season. David DeJesus (.314, 12 Rs, 3 HRs, 14 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Rays, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Tampa Bay takes on Minnesota as a -116 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +807 and a record as the underdog of 15-14. It's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Twins. The 3.7 runs that Minnesota's pitchers allow per home game makes them the fifth-ranked AL staff at home.
In games where it is the favorite, Tampa Bay has a 9-8 record and an overall money line of +289. Tampa Bay's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 3.41 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Rays are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.16 for the season. The Rays have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.6 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Twins have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Twins have a 9-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Archer takes the mound. Gibson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 16-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
For the second time this season, the Rays registered at least two errors in a game.
When the Twins play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Rays are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Rays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are heading in with a 6-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 3-15. The Rays have a 3-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Minnesota has hit 27 this season. Tampa Bay ranks ninth with 36 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.78 per game. Minnesota ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.83.
Ranking 22nd, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.693). Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .704.
The Rays are 9-12 when they allow at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 11-13 record.