Michael Lorenzen (1-1, 4.00 ERA) and Chris Heston (3-3, 2.91 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (18-19) and the San Francisco Giants (19-18) at the Great American Ball Park. The Giants won the last game 11-2 and San Francisco leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 17 and can be seen on CSN-BAY and FSN-OH.
Lorenzen pitched 2.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs and walking two in a 10-2 defeat to the Giants. Heston went 9.0 innings, surrendering one run and striking out 10 in an 8-1 win over the Astros in his most recent start. Brandon Crawford (.277, 17 Rs, 6 HRs, 24 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Giants, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and six RBIs.
Cincinnati is a -125 favorite against San Francisco and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Reds have recorded an overall money line of +38 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 10-6. Cincinnati is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 43 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, San Francisco has a 9-8 record and an overall money line of -122. Offensively, the Giants have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.5 runs per game by averaging 4.4 during that stretch. San Francisco is excellent at drawing walks with 3.4 per road game, ranking third in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Giants are fourth in the NL with an average of 8.4 hits allowed per game.
The Giants lead the season series, 2-1. The Reds have a 14-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Heston takes the mound. Lorenzen (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 12-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Cincinnati is 6-8, while San Francisco is 3-5.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Giants have a 1-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Giants have a slight leg up on the Reds, as the Giants have won their last two games while the Reds have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 11-4. The Giants have a 15-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th in runs, San Francisco has earned 136 this season. Cincinnati ranks 19th with 145 runs.
Ranking 14th, San Francisco is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 114 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 128.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 16-10. When the Giants hit at least one homer, they have an 11-8 record.