Stephen Strasburg (2-4, 6.06 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (21-17) are in San Diego to meet Ian Kennedy (2-2, 5.92 ERA) and the Padres (19-19) in a game that could have plenty of offense. This is the last of a four-game series at Petco Park. The Nationals won the last game 4-1 and Washington leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 17 and will air on MASN2 and FSN-SD.
Kennedy is 3-2 with a 2.31 ERA against the Nationals in his career, but faces a strong Washington offense that's hitting .262 on the year. In his career against the Padres, Strasburg is 3-1 with a 3.24 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and 29 strikeouts. Bryce Harper (.326, 33 Rs, 13 HRs, 33 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Nationals, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run.
San Diego, a +112 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Washington. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Padres are in an interesting position this season. While it has a notable overall money line (+20), its record as underdog (8-12) is less impressive. The Padres come into the game with the NL's fifth-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 4.6 runs per game in their own ballpark. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in all of baseball with 28 steals. Transitioning to the pitching staff, an area where the Padres are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.4 K's per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Nationals come into this game with a win percentage of .586 when playing as the favorite (17-12) and an overall money line of -159. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 7-2 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 7-3. The Nationals rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. The Nationals average 3.3 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. Switching gears to Washington's pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 walks per road game, third-best in the NL.
In their previous three games this season, the Nationals have a 2-1 record. The Padres will take on a right-hander (Strasburg) in this game and have a 13-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Nationals will be the right-hander Kennedy. They sport a 14-15 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
San Diego recorded at least two errors for the seventh time this season.
When the Nationals play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Padres are 1-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Nationals managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with an 8-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 2-16. The Nationals have a 5-16 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 15th in home runs, San Diego has hit 33 this season. Washington ranks eighth with 39 home runs.
San Diego and Washington both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. San Diego sits at eighth with 8.86 hits per game and Washington ranks seventh with 8.89.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.703). Washington ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .742.
When the Nationals allow at least one home run, they are 5-8. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have an 11-15 record.