In the last of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (23-17) and the Milwaukee Brewers (23-17) at Comerica Park, Shane Greene (4-2, 4.21 ERA) and Kyle Lohse (3-4, 5.85 ERA) get the start. The Brewers won the last game 8-1 and Milwaukee leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 7:08 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 20 and will air on FSN-WI and FSN-DET.
In his last start, Greene pitched 5.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out four and walking two in a 10-4 victory over the Cardinals. Miguel Cabrera (.331, 23 Rs, 10 HRs, 30 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Tigers, Lohse is 7-6 with a 5.66 ERA. He gets a solid Detroit offense that's batting .277. Ryan Braun (.259, 23 Rs, 9 HRs, 27 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and four RBIs.
Detroit, a -139 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Milwaukee. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Tigers perform well as a favorite with a 15-10 record and have an overall money line of +513. They stand winless as the favorite with a 0-1 record, though they have a more impressive record SU (4-3) against the National League. Detroit has averaged 3.4 runs per game during interleague play, lower than its season average of 4.4. The Tigers rank second in the AL in hits with 9.6 per game. The Tigers are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 36 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Transitioning to the Detroit defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Tigers, who allow only 3.9 runs per game. The Tigers don't give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking third in the AL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game.
On the other side, the Brewers have a subpar record of 10-15 when they are the underdog and are -1,034 overall with the money line. When playing Interleague opponents, they have a 1-1 as the favorite and 2-2 SU. Milwaukee has been playing better lately, averaging 4.7 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.7. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Milwaukee batters, who rank fifth in the NL with 7.8 strikeouts per road game. Milwaukee's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play AL opponents. They've allowed an average of 4.2 runs per game against teams from the AL lower than their season average of 5.1.
The previous two games have all gone Milwaukee's way. The Tigers will take on a right-hander (Lohse) in this game and have a 16-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Greene. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport an 11-19 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
Milwaukee recorded at least two errors for the 10th time this season.
The Tigers are 2-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 1-1 in such matchups.
The Brewers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Tigers who are heading in with an 11-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 1-12. The Brewers have a 5-20 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 15th in home runs, Detroit has hit 34 this season. Milwaukee ranks eighth with 41 home runs.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.49 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at second with 9.64.
Ranking 25th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.672). Detroit ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .767.
The Brewers are 9-20 when they allow at least one home run. The Tigers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 8-12 record.