This game could be low scoring as David Phelps (2-0, 2.68 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (16-24) meet Chase Anderson (0-1, 2.81 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (17-21) in the third of a four-game series at Marlins Park. The Marlins lost the last game 4-2, extending a five-game losing streak. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 20 and will air on FSN-AZ and FSN-FL.
In his last start, Phelps pitched 6.0 innings, giving up one and striking out eight in a 5-3 loss to the Braves. Dee Gordon (.403, 22 Rs, 14 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Marlins, Anderson is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA. He meets a strong Miami offense that's batting .259.
Miami is a -124 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Marlins perform poorly as a favorite with an 8-12 record and have an overall money line of -817. They have a winless record (0-4) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. Miami has averaged 2.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 3.9. As for the pitching staff, the Marlins don't give up many walks to opposing batters at Marlins Park, ranking fifth in the NL with only 2.5 walks allowed per home game.
Switching gears, the Diamondbacks come into this game with a win percentage of .417 when playing as the underdog (10-14) and an overall money line of -371. Arizona is the top hitting team in the NL with an average of 9.5 hits per contest. The Diamondbacks have racked up 29 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Switching gears to Arizona's pitching staff, they have the fifth-lowest road ERA in the NL at 3.95. They also allow just 2.7 walks per road game, third-best in the NL.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 2-0 against the Marlins. This game will feature Anderson (RHP) on the mound against the Marlins, who have an 11-21 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Diamondbacks will be the right-hander Phelps. They sport a 12-16 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 9-4, while Miami is 7-11.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 6-12 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Diamondbacks have a slight leg up on the Marlins, as the Diamondbacks have won their last two games while the Marlins have lost their last five.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 14-7. The Diamondbacks have a 12-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th in runs, Miami has earned 155 this season. Arizona ranks seventh with 176 runs.
Miami and Arizona both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Miami sits at 20th with 104 this season and Arizona ranks 18th with 107.
The Marlins are 7-13 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Diamondbacks are 14-6 when they hit at least one homer.