Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Wei-Yin Chen (1-2, 2.53 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (17-19) meet Roenis Elias (0-1, 3.24 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (17-21) in the second of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 9-4 and Baltimore leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 20 and will air on ROOT-NW and MASN2.
Chen has a 3.00 ERA and a 2-2 record in his career against the Mariners, and is up against a less-than-stellar Seattle offense that's hitting just .237 on the year. Jimmy Paredes (.346, 18 Rs, 6 HRs, 22 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one home run, and four RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Orioles, Elias is 0-1 with a 1.69 ERA. He gets a strong Baltimore offense that's batting .261. Nelson Cruz (.347, 26 Rs, 16 HRs, 33 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Mariners, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Baltimore is a -128 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Orioles have a 10-8 record and overall money line at -336. Baltimore has averaged 3.3 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.5. The Orioles have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire AL, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Orioles don't give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking third in the AL with only 7.6 hits allowed per game.
On the other side, the Mariners have a subpar record of 3-6 when they are the underdog and are -755 overall with the money line. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Seattle pitchers. They've allowed 2.7 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.1. The Seattle pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 7.8 strikeouts per game.
The only other game between the two teams went Baltimore's way. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the left-hander Chen. They sport a 3-5 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Seattle is 7-4, while Baltimore is 6-7.
The Orioles are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Mariners have a record of 4-8 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-11. The Mariners have a 7-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking sixth in home runs, Baltimore has hit 45 this season. Seattle ranks third with 50 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.00 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.57.
Ranking 18th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.702). Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .748.
The Mariners are 7-17 when they allow at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 8-14 record.