Bartolo Colon (6-2, 3.86 ERA) and Carlos Martinez (3-2, 4.72 ERA) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the New York Mets (23-17) and the St. Louis Cardinals (26-13) at Citi Field. The Cardinals won the last game 10-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 20 and can be seen on FSN-MW and SNY.
Colon is 4-0 with a 2.77 ERA in his appearances against the Cardinals, but goes up against a quality St. Louis offense which is batting .268 this season. Wilmer Flores (.248, 17 Rs, 6 HRs, 15 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Martinez is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against the Mets in his career. He takes on a below-average New York offense that's batting just .236.
New York is a slim -113 favorite at home against St. Louis. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +725 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 18-4. New York is an impressive 5-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Opposing offenses that come to Citi Field have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 2.29 at home. The Mets are the third-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.14 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mets, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.7.
In games where it is the underdog, St. Louis has a 5-6 record and an overall money line of +1,028. St. Louis's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an NL-low 2.81 ERA. The Cardinals have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 9.1 strikeouts per road game.
The Mets have a great 15-3 record at home (20-11 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Martinez takes the mound. Colon (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a very good 21-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
New York has won 72% (13-5) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, St. Louis has won 73% (11-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cardinals have a 12-1 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Mets are 7-14. The Cardinals have a 6-7 record when opponents outhit them.
New York and St. Louis both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. New York sits at 22nd with 31 home runs this season and St. Louis ranks 21st with 32.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.85 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at third with 9.26.
Ranking 28th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.659). St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .740.
The Cardinals are 10-8 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mets are 10-12 when they allow at least one homer.