In the second of a two-game series between the Atlanta Braves (18-20) and the Tampa Bay Rays (18-20) at Turner Field, Williams Perez (0-0, 15.43 ERA) and Jake Odorizzi (3-3, 2.36 ERA) get the ball. The Rays won the last game 5-3 and Tampa Bay leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 20 and will air on SunSports and SPSO.
In his last start, Perez pitched 2.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out two and walking two in a 5-1 loss to the Reds. A.J. Pierzynski (.306, 12 Rs, 3 HRs, 16 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. The Rays were unsuccessful the last time Odorizzi pitched. He tossed, going 6.0 innings, allowing three runs and striking out five in a 3-2 loss to the Twins. David DeJesus (.319, 12 Rs, 3 HRs, 16 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI.
Atlanta is a +115 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Braves have a 13-15 record and overall money line at +133. They have performed well against the American League to earn an SU record of 2-1 and a 2-1 record when they were the underdog. The Braves seem to play better on offense against opponents from the AL, putting up an average of 6.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.3. Atlanta's pitchers struggle against teams that play in the American League. The Braves have given up an average of 5.0 runs to opponents from the AL, well over their defense's season average of 4.4.
On the other side, the Rays have a record of 10-8 when they are favored and are +282 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 5-2 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 6-4. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.1 runs per game, above their 4.0 season average. Tampa Bay has an eye for the strike zone on the road, ranking 3.2 in the AL with fifth walks per game. Tampa Bay's pitching staff and defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, averaging an AL-best 3.6 runs allowed per game. They have a WHIP of 1.14 on the year, good for second in the league.
The only other game between the two teams went Tampa Bay's way. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Odorizzi) in this game and have a 16-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Rays will be the right-hander Perez. They sport a 17-12 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
Atlanta has won 32% (7-15) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Tampa Bay has won 50% (7-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Rays have a 2-6 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 2-14. The Rays have a 3-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 26 this season. Tampa Bay ranks 12th with 37 home runs.
Atlanta and Tampa Bay both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Atlanta sits at ninth with 8.65 hits per game and Tampa Bay ranks 10th with 8.10.
Both Atlanta and Tampa Bay are tied at 18th for their on-base plus slugging percentage of .702.
The Rays are 9-12 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 6-14 when they allow at least one homer.