In the second of a two-game series between the Washington Nationals (23-17) and the New York Yankees (23-17) at Nationals Park, Jordan Zimmermann (3-2, 3.66 ERA) and Adam Warren (2-2, 4.50 ERA) get the ball. The Nationals won the last game 8-6 and Washington leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 20 and will air on YES and MASN.
In his last start, Zimmermann pitched 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking one in a 10-0 victory over the Padres. Bryce Harper (.336, 37 Rs, 15 HRs, 38 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Yankees were unsuccessful the last time Warren pitched. He went, going 7.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 3-2 loss to the Rays. Mark Teixeira (.258, 20 Rs, 12 HRs, 30 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Yankees, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Washington, a -144 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Nationals perform well as a favorite with a 19-12 record and have an overall money line of +41. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (8-1). Washington has averaged 7.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 5.0. Washington's pitchers struggle against teams that play in the American League. The Nationals have given up an average of 7.3 runs to opponents from the AL, well over their defense's season average of 4.3.
Moving on to the away team, the Yankees come into this game with a win percentage of .550 when playing as the underdog (11-9) and an overall money line of +457. Against teams in the National League, they are 2-1 SU. New York is one of the top home-run-hitting teams in the league with 47 home runs. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the New York batters, who rank fifth in the AL with 7.0 strikeouts per road game. The New York pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.5 strikeouts per game.
The only other game between the two teams went Washington's way. The Nationals will take on a right-hander (Warren) in this game and have a 16-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Zimmermann will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 16-12 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
New York has won 44% (8-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Washington has won 63% (12-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Nationals are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Yankees have a record of 14-5 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
It looks like the Nationals have a slight leg up on the Yankees, as the Nationals have won their last four games while the Yankees have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Yankees are 14-2. The Nationals have a 17-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking seventh in runs, New York has earned 177 this season. Washington ranks second with 202 runs.
Washington and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Washington sits at sixth with 137 this season and New York ranks eighth with 134.
The Nationals are 17-7 when they hit at least one home run. The Yankees perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with an 18-10 record.