In the second of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (20-20) and the Chicago Cubs (20-20) at Petco Park, Tyson Ross (2-3, 3.94 ERA) and Tsuyoshi Wada (0-0, 0.00 ERA) take the mound. The Padres won the last game 4-3 and San Diego leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 20 and will air on FSN-SD and CSN-CHI.
In his most recent outing, Ross pitched 5.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out six and walking three in an 8-3 victory over the Nationals. In his pitching opportunities against the Padres, Wada is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA, four strikeouts and four walks. Anthony Rizzo (.341, 26 Rs, 8 HRs, 23 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
San Diego, a -137 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Chicago. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Padres perform well as a favorite with an 11-6 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-180). They have SU record of 4-6 and are unbeaten as the favorite (2-0) over their last 10 games. The Padres come into the game with the NL's fifth-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game in their own ballpark. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in all of baseball with 30 steals. San Diego's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.2 during that span, compared to its 4.9 season average. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.5 strikeouts per game.
Across the field, the Cubs have a record of 8-7 when they are the underdog and are +271 overall with the money line. The Cubs rank fifth in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Cubs have racked up 37 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Switching gears to Chicago's pitching staff, they allow just 2.9 walks per road game, fifth-best in the NL.
In their previous four games this season, the Padres have a 3-1 record. The Padres will take on a left-hander (Wada) in this game and have a 6-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Ross will take the mound against the Cubs, who have a 17-13 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Cubs lost by a margin of one run. The Padres are 6-5 in one-run games. The Cubs have an 11-7 record in close games.
Chicago has won 50% (9-9) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Diego has won 58% (11-8) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Cubs have a 1-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 3-17. The Cubs have a 5-14 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego and Chicago both rank in the top half of the league in home runs. San Diego sits at 15th with 36 home runs this season and Chicago ranks 13th with 37.
San Diego and Chicago both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. San Diego sits at seventh with 8.72 hits per game and Chicago ranks 10th with 8.51.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.697). Chicago ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .718.
When the Cubs allow at least one home run, they are 12-11. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have a 12-16 record.