Chris Tillman (2-5, 6.34 ERA) and J.A. Happ (3-1, 2.98 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (17-20) and the Seattle Mariners (18-21) at Camden Yards. The Mariners won the last game 4-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 12:35 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 21 and can be seen on ROOT-NW, MASN and MLB Net.
Tillman is 6-0 with a 2.02 ERA in his appearances against the Mariners, and goes up against a below-average Seattle offense which is batting just .239 this season. Adam Jones (.343, 20 Rs, 6 HRs, 25 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run. Happ is 2-3 with a 2.93 ERA when pitching against the Orioles. He takes on a quality Baltimore offense which is hitting .262 this season. Nelson Cruz (.351, 27 Rs, 16 HRs, 33 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Mariners, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Baltimore is a -120 favorite against Seattle and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of -236 and a record as the favorite of 11-8. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the AL in home offense with 5.3 runs per game. The Orioles are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.2 per game. As for the pitchers, the Orioles are the third-best team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.6 hits per game so far this season.
In the other locker room, Seattle is coming in with an overall money line of -855 and a disappointing record of 3-7 as the underdog. The Mariners have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 7.7 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
Tillman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mariners, who have a 14-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
Baltimore has won 43% (6-8) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Seattle has won 67% (8-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mariners have a 6-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-12. The Mariners have a 7-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking seventh in home runs, Baltimore has hit 45 this season. Seattle ranks third with 51 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.95 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.69.
Ranking 16th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.706). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .744.
The Mariners are 7-17 when they allow at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 8-15 record.