R.A. Dickey (1-5, 5.76 ERA) and Matt Shoemaker (3-3, 5.63 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (18-24) and the Los Angeles Angels (21-19) at the Rogers Centre. The Angels won the last game 4-3 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 21 and can be seen on FSN-W and RSN.
Dickey is 1-3 with a 5.79 ERA in his appearances against the Angels, but goes up against a below-average Los Angeles offense which is batting just .234 this season. Against the Blue Jays, Shoemaker is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and two strikeouts. Mike Trout (.288, 31 Rs, 11 HRs, 22 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Angels, going 2 for 3 yesterday with three runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Toronto is a -122 favorite against Los Angeles and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. Though the Blue Jays have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-623), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 11-7. The Blue Jays lead the MLB in extra base hits with 138. Toronto's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 6.3 per game. Turning to the pitchers, the Blue Jays are the fifth-best team in the AL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.7 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Los Angeles has a 7-8 record and an overall money line of -99. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Los Angeles is excellent at not striking out with just 7.2 per game, ranking fifth in the AL. The Angels allow 3.6 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.7 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Angels are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.16 for the season.
The Angels lead the season series, 2-1. The Blue Jays have a 12-20 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Shoemaker takes the mound. Dickey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Angels, who have a 13-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Angels won by a margin of one run. The Blue Jays are 2-8 in one-run games. The Angels have a 7-7 record in close games.
When the Blue Jays play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Angels are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Angels are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Blue Jays have a record of 7-5 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 2-19. The Angels have a 5-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles ranks in the bottom half of the league at 16th when it comes to home runs, hitting 35 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 45.
Ranking 14th, Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.62 per game. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.63.
Ranking 30th, Los Angeles is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.647). Toronto ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .750.
When the Angels allow at least one home run, they are 9-16, well-matched with the Blue Jays who are 10-19 when allowing at least one homer.