In the second of a four-game series between the Detroit Tigers (25-17) and the Houston Astros (25-17) at Comerica Park, Alfredo Simon (4-2, 3.04 ERA) and Collin McHugh (5-1, 4.09 ERA) get the start. The Tigers won the last game 6-5 and Detroit leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:08 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 22 and will air on ROOT-SW and FSN-DET.
Simon is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA against the Astros in his career, and faces a struggling Houston offense that's hitting just .230 on the year. Miguel Cabrera (.336, 23 Rs, 10 HRs, 31 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. The Astros were victorious over the Blue Jays 4-2 the last time McHugh pitched. He went 7.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out nine and walking one. Jose Altuve (.306, 22 Rs, 5 HRs, 24 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Detroit is a slight -108 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Tigers are 16-11 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +458. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking second in all of baseball with 39 steals.
On the other side, the Astros have a nice record of 16-6 when they are the underdog and are +1,323 overall with the money line. They sport the top-ranked offense in the AL, averaging five runs per game. One of the top road hitting teams in the AL are the Astros, who average 9.2 hits in games away from home. The Astros have racked up 39 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The Astros are a problem for opposing batters, sporting an AL-low 3.12 ERA on the road this season. They have a WHIP of 1.15 on the year, good for third in the league.
So far this season, the Tigers are 1-0 against the Astros. The Tigers will take on a right-hander (McHugh) in this game and have a 17-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Simon will take the mound against the Astros. Against righty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 17-9 record overall and 8-3 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Astros lost by a margin of one run. The Tigers are 9-7 in one-run games. The Astros have a 10-4 record in close games.
Houston has won 67% (12-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 72% (13-5) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Tigers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Astros have a 2-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 1-12. The Astros have an 8-11 record when opponents outhit them.
Houston tops the league in home runs with 62 this season. Detroit ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 36.
Ranking 15th, Houston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.61 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at second with 9.49.
Ranking 10th, Houston is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.722). Detroit ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .771.
The Astros are 11-8 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Tigers are 10-12 when they allow at least one homer.