Henderson Alvarez (0-3, 6.23 ERA) and Ubaldo Jimenez (3-3, 2.43 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (16-26) and the Baltimore Orioles (18-20) at Marlins Park. The Marlins come into this series in the midst of a seven-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 22 and can be seen on MASN2 and FSN-FL.
Alvarez is 1-2 with a 3.12 ERA in his appearances against the Orioles, but goes up against a quality Baltimore offense which is batting .260 this season. Giancarlo Stanton (.239, 26 Rs, 12 HRs, 39 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI. Jimenez is 1-2 with a 4.07 ERA when pitching against the Marlins. He takes on a good Miami offense which is hitting .259 this season. Jimmy Paredes (.342, 19 Rs, 6 HRs, 23 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Miami is a slim -115 favorite at home against Baltimore. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -1,082 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 8-14. Miami has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Marlins have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.8 runs per game. Miami's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 6.3 against AL teams, compared to its 4.2 season average. The Marlins are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.7 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Baltimore is coming in with an overall money line of -371 and a disappointing record of 6-11 as the underdog. Baltimore has had a tough time against teams in the NL, coming in winless. They have a 0-2 record as the underdog and 0-2 SU. Offensively, the Orioles have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.5 runs per game by averaging 1.5 in those contests.
The Marlins have a bad 11-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Jimenez takes the mound. Alvarez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 15-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Orioles won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Marlins are 6-7. The Orioles are 4-6 in close games this season.
When the Orioles play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Marlins are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Orioles are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 12 strikeouts. The Marlins have a record of 2-2 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 14-8. The Orioles have a 15-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 162 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top half at 13th with 172.
Ranking 28th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 93 this season. Miami ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 108.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 7-13. When the Orioles hit at least one homer, they have a 16-12 record.