A.J. Burnett (3-1, 1.38 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (19-22) square off against Matt Harvey (5-1, 1.98 ERA) and the New York Mets (24-19) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the second of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 4-1 and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 23 and can be seen on SNY and ROOT-PIT.
Burnett is 5-9 with a 4.18 ERA in his appearances against the Mets, and goes up against a below-average New York offense which is batting just .236 this season. Jung-Ho Kang (.310, 8 Rs, 2 HRs, 11 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base. Against the Pirates, Harvey is 0-0 with a 2.57 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and four strikeouts. Curtis Granderson (.245, 22 Rs, 5 HRs, 13 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Pittsburgh is a narrow -108 favorite at home against New York. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently six runs. The Pirates have an overall money line of -760 and a record as the favorite of 14-13. Opposing batters know they're in for a battle when they play Pittsburgh. The Pirates are one of the top teams when it comes to pitching, allowing just 3.6 runs per game.
Over in the other dugout, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+625), New York has an unimpressive 5-14 record when playing as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-5 record when playing as the underdog. New York's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.13 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.13 for the season.
The Pirates have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Pirates have a 17-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Harvey takes the mound. Burnett (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 5-8 record on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. Their overall record against righties isn't as positive at 20-13.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
Pittsburgh has won 33% (5-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 72% (13-5) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 4-8 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Pirates are 4-13. The Mets have a 7-16 record when opponents outhit them.
Pittsburgh and New York both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Pittsburgh sits at 23rd with 32 home runs this season and New York ranks 22nd with 33.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.71 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 8.35.
Pittsburgh and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Pittsburgh sits at 26th with an OPS of .667 and New York ranks 28th with an OPS of .657.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 10-13. When the Pirates allow one or more homers, they have a 5-14 record.