Mark Buehrle (5-3, 5.36 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (19-25) meet James Paxton (2-2, 3.59 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (19-22) in the second of a three-game series at the Rogers Centre. The Mariners won the last game 4-3 and Seattle leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 1:07 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 23 and will air on ROOT-NW, RSN and MLB Net.
Buehrle is 8-4 with a 3.56 ERA against the Mariners in his career, and is up against a struggling Seattle offense that's hitting just .239 on the year. In his pitching opportunities against the Blue Jays, Paxton is 0-1 with a 27.00 ERA, one strike out and six walks. Nelson Cruz (.354, 29 Rs, 17 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Mariners, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Toronto is a -121 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Blue Jays have an 11-8 record and overall money line at -648. The Blue Jays come into the game with the top-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.2 runs per game. The Blue Jays are a stellar hitting team with 9.2 hits per home game, one of the highest marks in the AL. Turning to the pitching staff, the Blue Jays don't give up many hits to opposing batters at the Rogers Centre, ranking fourth in the AL with only 7.6 hits allowed per home game.
On the other side, the Mariners have a subpar record of 4-8 when they are the underdog and are -833 overall with the money line.
The only other game between the two teams went Seattle's way. This game will feature Paxton (LHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 4-1 home and 6-3 overall record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the left-hander Buehrle. They sport a 4-5 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Mariners won by a margin of one run. The Blue Jays are 2-9 in one-run games. The Mariners have a 10-9 record in close games.
When the Blue Jays play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Mariners are 3-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
After a weak showing last week where they got in six hits, the Mariners need to step it up. The Blue Jays have a record of 7-4 when opponents get six hits or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 9-8. The Blue Jays have a 17-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league when it comes to runs with 226 this season. Seattle ranks near the bottom at 23rd with 156.
Ranking 19th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 111 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 144.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 16-11, well-matched with the Mariners who are 16-12 when hitting one or more homers.