In the second of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (18-23) and the Cincinnati Reds (18-23) at Progressive Field, Corey Kluber (1-5, 3.79 ERA) and Anthony DeSclafani (2-4, 3.80 ERA) get the start. The Reds lost the last game 7-3, extending a six-game losing streak. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 23 and will air on FSN-OH and STO.
In his last start, Kluber pitched 9.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out 12 and walking one in a 2-1 loss to the White Sox. Jason Kipnis (.337, 30 Rs, 4 HRs, 19 RBIs, 5 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs and two RBIs. The Reds were unsuccessful the last time DeSclafani pitched. He struggled, going, going 3.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out two and walking three in a 9-8 loss to the Giants. Todd Frazier (.258, 27 Rs, 12 HRs, 24 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Reds, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Cleveland is a heavy -188 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Indians have a 10-14 record and overall money line at -968. They have an SU record of 1-2 against the National League and a 1-1 record when they were the favorite in those games. Cleveland has averaged 2.0 runs per game during interleague play, lower than its season average of 4.3. The Indians typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an AL-high 3.7 walks per game. The most recent 10 game stretch for Cleveland's pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Cleveland's opponents are averaging 3.4 runs per game, below their season average of 4.7. An area where the Indians are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 9.7 K's per game.
Across the field, the Reds have a subpar record of 8-15 when they are the underdog and are -397 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-5 record and 3-7 SU. When it comes to scoring runs, the Reds haven't performed as well against teams from the AL. During those games, they averaged three runs per game, below their 3.9 season average. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, with an MLB-best 43 stolen bases. Cincinnati's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play AL opponents. They've allowed an average of 5.2 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.5.
So far this season, the Indians are 1-0 against the Reds. The Indians will take on a right-hander (DeSclafani) in this game and have a 10-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Kluber. They sport a 14-16 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Cleveland is 7-9, while Cincinnati is 6-11.
The Indians are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Reds have a record of 4-8 when they are struck out that many times or more.
The Indians are coming into the game with four consecutive wins, while the Reds currently have a losing streak of six.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 11-4. The Indians have a 15-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Cincinnati sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 157 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top half at 13th with 179.
Ranking 10th, Cincinnati is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 137 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at second with 156.
The Indians are 15-11 when they hit at least one home run. The Reds perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 16-11 record.