Shelby Miller (5-1, 1.33 ERA) takes the hill for the Atlanta Braves (20-21) as they square off against Mike Fiers (1-4, 4.75 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (16-27) in the third of a four-game series at Turner Field. The Brewers won the last game 11-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 23 and can be seen on FS1.
Miller is 5-0 with a 2.20 ERA in his appearances against the Brewers, and goes up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is batting just .229 this season. Fiers went 5.2 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking one in a 3-2 defeat to the Tigers in his most recent start. Ryan Braun (.273, 26 Rs, 11 HRs, 33 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Brewers, going 3 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and four RBIs.
Atlanta is a -141 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have an overall money line of +254 and a record as the favorite of 6-5. The Braves have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.3 runs per game. Atlanta strikes out the least of any team in the NL, with only 6.2 per game. Atlanta's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.8 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.2. The Braves are the third-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.2 hits per game so far this season.
Over in the other dugout, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,089 and a disappointing record of 11-17 as the underdog.
The Braves have an 18-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Fiers takes the mound. Miller (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 12-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
The Brewers won their last game by an 11-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Braves are 1-1. The Brewers are 1-3 in blowouts this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 7-11, while Atlanta is 8-16.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 3-15. The Brewers have a 5-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 26 this season. Milwaukee ranks ninth with 43 home runs.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.45 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.50.
Ranking 25th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.672). Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .691.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 9-20, well-matched with the Braves who are 6-15 when allowing at least one homer.