Mike Foltynewicz (2-1, 5.32 ERA) and Jimmy Nelson (2-4, 3.73 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the Atlanta Braves (21-21) and the Milwaukee Brewers (16-28) at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 3-2 and Atlanta leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 24 and can be seen on FSN-WI and FSN-S.
Foltynewicz pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 5-3 defeat to the Rays. Freddie Freeman (.301, 26 Rs, 5 HRs, 22 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. Nelson went 8.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking four in an 8-1 win over the Tigers in his most recent start. Carlos Gomez (.286, 17 Rs, 4 HRs, 18 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
The odds for Atlanta and Milwaukee are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs. The Braves have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.2 runs per game. Atlanta strikes out the least of any team in the NL, with only 6.3 per game. As for the pitchers, the Braves are the third-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.3 hits per game so far this season.
The Braves lead the season series, 2-1. The Braves have an 18-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nelson takes the mound. Foltynewicz (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 12-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
The Brewers lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Braves are 7-8. The Brewers are 4-5 in close games this season.
When the Braves play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Brewers are 1-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Brewers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Braves who are heading in with a 9-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 16-6. The Brewers have an 11-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Atlanta and Milwaukee both rank in the bottom half of the league in runs. Atlanta sits at 16th with 177 runs this season and Milwaukee ranks 19th with 169.
Ranking 22nd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 108 this season. Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 128.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 12-7, well-matched with the Brewers who are 15-10 when hitting one or more homers.