Hector Santiago (3-2, 2.25 ERA) takes the mound for the Los Angeles Angels (22-21) as they go up against Wade Miley (3-4, 5.10 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (20-23) in the last of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 8-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 24 and will air on FSN-W and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Miley pitched 7.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 4-3 victory over the Rangers. Hanley Ramirez (.264, 23 Rs, 10 HRs, 22 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his career against the Red Sox, Santiago is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA. He gets a struggling Boston offense that's batting just .237. Mike Trout (.302, 34 Rs, 11 HRs, 24 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Boston is a -134 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have a 10-14 record and overall money line at -789. They are 1-3 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Boston has averaged 2.2 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 3.9. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking fourth in the AL with an average of only 6.3 strikeouts per home game.
Moving on to the away team, the Angels come into this game with a win percentage of .529 when playing as the underdog (9-8) and an overall money line of +10. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 5-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 7-3. The Angels are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.61 ERA this season. They also allow just 7.8 hits per game, good for third in the AL.
The Red Sox will take on a left-hander (Santiago) in this game and have a 5-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Angels will be the left-hander Miley. Southpaws starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport records of 3-1 on the road and 7-3 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAA, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 12-9, while Boston is 8-10.
The Red Sox are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Angels have a record of 7-4 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-21. The Angels have a 5-15 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles ranks in the top half of the league at 13th when it comes to home runs, hitting 40 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 44.
Boston and Los Angeles both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Boston sits at 13th with 8.05 hits per game and Los Angeles ranks 14th with 7.67.
Boston and Los Angeles both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Boston sits at 22nd with an OPS of .687 and Los Angeles ranks 28th with an OPS of .656.
When the Angels allow at least one home run, they are 10-18, well-matched with the Red Sox who are 8-22 when allowing at least one homer.