Carlos Frias (3-1, 2.55 ERA) and James Shields (5-0, 3.74 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (26-16) and the San Diego Padres (20-24) at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers won the last game 2-0 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 24 and can be seen on FSN-SD and SportsNet LA.
Frias pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out three and walking two in a 2-0 defeat to the Giants. Adrian Gonzalez (.347, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 32 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Shields is 0-0 with a 4.15 ERA when pitching against the Dodgers. He takes on a good Los Angeles offense which is hitting .258 this season.
Los Angeles is a -125 favorite against San Diego and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Dodgers have recorded an overall money line of +161 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 23-15. Los Angeles has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 18-12 and 18-13 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Dodgers have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.9 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.6 runs per game. The Dodgers have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in offense with 4.6 runs per game. The Dodgers are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.0 per game. Los Angeles leads the whole NL in walks, earning an average of 3.9 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Dodgers are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.13 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Dodgers, who lead the NL in strikeouts per game with 9.0.
In the other locker room, San Diego is coming in with an overall money line of -416 and a disappointing record of 8-16 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-6 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, the Padres have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 2.9 during that stretch. The Padres average 4.7 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL West is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.9 against division foes.
The Dodgers have controlled the season series, 6-2. The Dodgers have a great 17-3 record at home (23-12 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Shields takes the mound. Frias (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 14-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
The Dodgers hold a 19-13 record this season against teams in the NL West Division. The Padres' record in these matchups is 15-14.
San Diego has won 52% (11-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 53% (8-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Dodgers are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Padres have a 1-4 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Dodgers have a slight leg up on the Padres, as the Dodgers have won their last two games while the Padres have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 14-3. The Dodgers have a 19-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 13th, San Diego sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 182 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 190.
Ranking first in walks, Los Angeles has earned 161 this season. San Diego ranks 21st with 110 walks.
The Dodgers are 22-8 when they hit at least one home run. The Padres perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 13-8 record.