This game could be low scoring as Wei-Yin Chen (1-3, 2.90 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (19-22) go up against Dallas Keuchel (6-0, 1.67 ERA) and the Houston Astros (29-16) in the first of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 25 and will air on ROOT-SW and MASN.
Chen has a 2.75 ERA and a 3-0 record in his career against the Astros, and faces a less-than-stellar Houston offense that's hitting just .231 on the year. Adam Jones (.321, 20 Rs, 6 HRs, 25 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Orioles, Keuchel is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA. He meets a solid Baltimore offense that's batting .258. Jake Marisnick (.281, 17 Rs, 3 HRs, 16 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
Baltimore is favored by a slight -107 margin in its matchup against Houston. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Orioles are 12-9 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -272. The Orioles don't give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking fourth in the AL with only 7.9 hits allowed per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Astros come into this game with a solid win percentage of .708 when playing as the underdog (17-7) and an overall money line of +1,217. They sport the top-ranked offense in the AL, averaging five runs per game. Houston is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 142 extra base hits. Houston is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 41 stolen bases. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.17, fourth best in the MLB.
This game will feature Keuchel (LHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 3-4 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The left-handed Chen will take the mound against the Astros. Against lefty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 11-6 record overall and 5-2 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
Baltimore has won 47% (7-8) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Houston has won 68% (13-6) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Astros have a record of 5-2 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
It looks like the Astros have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Astros have won their last two games while the Orioles have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 15-6. The Astros have a 17-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 14th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 182 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at fourth with 202.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 108 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 150.
The Orioles are 16-12 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Astros are 22-9 when they hit at least one homer.