Charlie Morton (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and David Phelps (2-1, 3.21 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-22) and the Miami Marlins (18-27) at PNC Park. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 25 and can be seen on FSN-FL and ROOT-PIT.
Morton is 5-3 with a 4.03 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a quality Miami offense which is batting .260 this season. Andrew McCutchen (.261, 24 Rs, 7 HRs, 27 RBIs, 2 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. Against the Pirates, Phelps is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, and five strikeouts. Dee Gordon (.376, 25 Rs, 14 RBIs, 17 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Pittsburgh is a -136 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Pirates have an overall money line of -560 and a record as the favorite of 16-13. Pittsburgh's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 6.5 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Pirates, who have a team ERA of only 3.18.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 8-11 record and an overall money line of -1,222. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 2-8 SU record over the same span. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 2.8 during that stretch. When it comes to issuing walks, the Marlins have the fifth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.8 walks allowed per game.
The Pirates have a 19-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Phelps takes the mound. Morton (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 12-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
Miami has won 37% (7-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Pittsburgh has won 41% (7-10) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 5-18 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-16. The Pirates have a 4-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, Pittsburgh ranks 21st with 36 homers and Miami is 27th with 28.
Ranking 10th, Pittsburgh is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.36 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.82.
Pittsburgh and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Pittsburgh sits at 23rd with an OPS of .681 and Miami ranks 24th with an OPS of .678.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 8-14, well-matched with the Pirates who are 6-14 when allowing at least one homer.