If you’re struggling with betting on baseball this season or just want to get better, make it a point to listen to every episode of The Bettor’s Box. Adam Burke records the show twice-a-week on Mondays and Thursdays and it is jam-packed with MLB betting analysis and observation. His vast baseball knowledge is an asset to handicappers of all skill levels and bankrolls and he presents tough statistical concepts in ways that are easy to understand. This is a great resource and a podcast that needs to be a part of your weekly rotation.
Listeners of the show can also hit Adam up on Twitter at his handle, @SkatingTripods, to talk baseball betting, topics for the show, or any other sport at BangTheBook. He’s always willing to discuss baseball, as well as the other sports. Don’t hesitate to ask him for more clarification about sabermetrics or about the observations that he has seen in previous games.
To begin the show, Adam did what he always does and took a look Beyond the Box Score. There’s always more than meets the eye with MLB box scores and interpreting past results can be helpful in predicting future ones. The Cleveland Indians rolled to a sweep of the Cincinnati Reds and have now won six straight. What has worked so well for the Indians over the last week? Do the Reds have any hope for the rest of the season?
Another series that piqued Adam’s interest was the Pittsburgh Pirates sweep of the New York Mets. The Mets sent Noah Syndergaard, Matt Harvey, and Jon Niese to the mound and still couldn’t win a game. What went wrong for the Mets? Are the Pirates finally playing up to their capabilities? The Mets got some tough news over the weekend that could have a lasting impact on the 2015 season and beyond. How can they bounce back?
Line moves are important to pay attention to, as Adam illustrates on every show. By looking back at the betting line movements, listeners of the show are able to pick out trends that they can use to exploit the books. The betting market has been steaming some of the same pitchers and oddsmakers continue to wrongly price some starting pitchers. Looking back at the moves that worked and those that didn’t can provide some context into how all of the influential MLB betting parties are breaking down games.
Adam had a pick for Monday night before walking listeners through his process for breaking down starting pitching matchups. This was part of his sabermetric discussion for the Monday show. It’s important to have a process when betting, just like a player has a process for attacking hitters or facing a pitcher. Adam’s process is working, as listeners of the show have come to find out.
The early part of the week brings a couple of interesting series worth monitoring. The Boston Red Sox take on the Minnesota Twins, a team pegged for some regression in the coming weeks. Also, the surging San Francisco Giants battle the Milwaukee Brewers. Some recent developments have affected Brewers lines. Adam went in-depth on that and the other elements of those series that he is watching for.
Remember to follow Adam on Twitter (@SkatingTripods) and also be sure that you follow @BangTheBook on Twitter. The top comments, questions, and suggestions will be mentioned on the show and every Tweet sent to either handle will get a response.
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