Tim Lincecum (4-2, 2.08 ERA) takes the mound for the San Francisco Giants (25-20) as they go up against Kyle Lohse (3-4, 5.53 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (16-29) in the first of a three-game series at Miller Park. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 25 and will air on CSN-BAY and FSN-WI.
Lohse is 3-3 with a 4.70 ERA against the Giants in his career, and is up against a solid San Francisco offense that's hitting .272 on the year. In his career against the Brewers, Lincecum is 4-3 with a 4.16 ERA. He meets a struggling Milwaukee offense that's batting just .227. Brandon Crawford (.301, 23 Rs, 6 HRs, 31 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Milwaukee is favored by a slight -108 margin in its matchup against San Francisco. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Brewers perform poorly as a favorite with a 5-10 record and have an overall money line of -1,205. They have SU record of 4-6 and are unbeaten as the favorite (1-0) over their last 10 games.
Moving on to the away team, the Giants come into this game with a solid win percentage of .636 when playing as the underdog (14-8) and an overall money line of +536. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 5-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 8-2. They sport the second-ranked offense in the NL, averaging five runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Giants, who average 9.5 hits per game. San Francisco's pitching staff and defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking fifth in the NL with only 3.8 runs allowed per game.
The Brewers will take on a right-hander (Lincecum) in this game. They have done very poorly against right-handed starting pitchers this season (12-23), especially at home where they have a 6-12 record. Taking the hill against the Giants will be the right-hander Lohse. They sport a 17-16 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, San Francisco is 5-6, while Milwaukee is 7-12.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Giants have an 11-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 5-24. The Giants have a 3-11 record when opponents outhit them.
San Francisco ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting 32 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 11th with 43.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.61 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at second with 9.49.
Ranking 26th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.664). San Francisco ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .731.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 11-14. When the Brewers allow one or more homers, they have a 9-20 record.