In a game that has the potential for a lot of runs, Jeremy Guthrie (4-2, 4.75 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (28-15) are in New York to square off against Nathan Eovaldi (3-1, 4.73 ERA) and the Yankees (22-22). This is the first of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees come into this series in the midst of a six-game losing streak. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 25 and can be seen on FSN-KC, YES and ESPN.
Eovaldi pitched 4.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking two in an 8-6 defeat to the Nationals. Eric Hosmer (.311, 29 Rs, 7 HRs, 30 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a narrow -113 favorite at home against Kansas City. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Yankees have an overall money line of -95 and a record as the favorite of 11-10. New York has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Yankees have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.5 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 52. New York's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5. The Yankees are the fifth-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.8 walks per game so far this season.
In the other locker room, Kansas City is coming in with an overall money line of +1,212 and an impressive record of 12-5 as the dog. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 7-3 SU record over the same span. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is second in the AL. The Royals are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 9.9 hits per game. The Royals allow 3.4 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.3 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Royals are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season.
The Royals lead the season series, 2-1. The Yankees have a 16-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Ventura takes the mound. Eovaldi (RHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a very good 18-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
New York has won 38% (8-13) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won 71% (12-5) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Royals have a 7-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 1-10. The Yankees have a 4-16 record when opponents outhit them.
Kansas City ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting 32 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 52.
Kansas City tops the league in hits with 9.95 per game this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.37.
Ranking 12th, New York is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.719). Kansas City ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .767.
The Royals are 12-10 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 12-16 when they allow at least one homer.