Adam Warren (2-3, 4.26 ERA) and Jason Vargas (3-1, 5.26 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (23-22) and the Kansas City Royals (28-16) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 14-1 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 26 and can be seen on FSN-KC and PIX11.
Warren is 0-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his appearances against the Royals, but goes up against a quality Kansas City offense which is batting .286 this season. Brett Gardner (.285, 29 Rs, 4 HRs, 19 RBIs, 12 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with three runs, one home run, and three RBIs. Vargas makes his first start back off of the disabled list. Eric Hosmer (.312, 29 Rs, 7 HRs, 30 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
New York is a -119 favorite against Kansas City and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Yankees have an overall money line of -254 and a record as the favorite of 11-11. New York has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Yankees have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.4 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 57. New York's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.9 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5. The Yankees are the fifth-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.8 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Kansas City is coming in with an overall money line of +1,212 and an impressive record of 12-5 as the dog. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 7-3 SU record over the same span. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is second in the AL. The Royals are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 9.9 hits per game. Kansas City's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 3.22 ERA.
The Yankees have a 6-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Guthrie takes the mound. Warren (RHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a very good 18-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Yankees won by a margin of 13 runs. The Royals are 1-1 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Yankees have a 2-2 record in blowouts.
When the Royals play into extra innings, they have a 3-0 record. The Yankees are 0-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Royals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Yankees are 15-3. The Royals have a 25-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top five of the league based on total runs this season, New York ranks fourth with 208 runs and Kansas City is second with 212.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 91 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 150.
The Yankees are 19-12 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Royals are 18-6 when they hit at least one homer.