Jacob deGrom (5-4, 2.75 ERA) takes the hill for the New York Mets (25-21) as they square off against Jerome Williams (3-4, 5.44 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (19-28) in the second of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 6-3 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 26 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and SNY.
deGrom is 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA in his appearances against the Phillies, and goes up against a below-average Philadelphia offense which is batting just .240 this season. Lucas Duda (.294, 24 Rs, 6 HRs, 20 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Williams is 1-2 with a 4.21 ERA when pitching against the Mets. He takes on a below-average New York offense which is hitting just .235 this season. Freddy Galvis (.314, 20 Rs, 1 HR, 11 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
This one isn't expected to be close when New York, a substantial -190 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +325 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 19-4. New York is an impressive 4-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. New York is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.3 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 3.37. The Mets are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.16 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Philadelphia has a 17-25 record and an overall money line of -410. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 9-17 record against NL East opponents, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.2 runs per game by averaging 4.3 during that stretch.
The Mets have controlled the season series, 6-1. The Mets have a 20-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Williams takes the mound. deGrom (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 15-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 18-9 against the division, while the Phillies are struggling at 10-19.
When the Mets play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Phillies are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Phillies are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Mets have a record of 7-11 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 14-3. The Mets have a 16-2 record when outhitting opponents.
New York and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. New York sits at 25th with 168 runs this season and Philadelphia ranks 29th with 149.
Ranking 22nd, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 112 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 127.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 16-7. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 9-11 record.