Mike Pelfrey (3-1, 3.00 ERA) and Clay Buchholz (2-5, 4.58 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (26-18) and the Boston Red Sox (21-24) at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 7-2 and Minnesota leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 26 and can be seen on NESN and FSN-N.
Pelfrey pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run and striking out five in a 4-3 defeat to the Pirates. Brian Dozier (.251, 35 Rs, 9 HRs, 24 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run. Buchholz is 3-1 with a 4.25 ERA when pitching against the Twins. He is up against a quality Minnesota offense which is hitting .257 this season. Hanley Ramirez (.263, 24 Rs, 10 HRs, 23 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Boston takes on Minnesota as a -125 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +1,274 and a record as the underdog of 19-16. The Twins have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the AL in offense with 4.6 runs per game. The Twins are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.6 per game.
In games where it is the favorite, Boston has a 12-14 record and an overall money line of -589. Boston is excellent at not striking out with just 6.6 per game, ranking second in the AL. The Red Sox allow 4.7 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.4 runs per game during that span.
The Twins have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Twins have a 10-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Buchholz takes the mound. Pelfrey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 14-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Over
Boston has won 44% (8-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Minnesota has won 54% (7-6) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 1-2 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-22. The Twins have a 5-17 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Minnesota has hit 35 this season. Boston ranks 11th with 45 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Boston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.23 per game. Minnesota ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.63.
Ranking 22nd, Boston is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.688). Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .699.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 8-23. When the Twins allow one or more homers, they have a 14-13 record.