Jeff Locke (2-2, 5.28 ERA) and Jose Urena (0-0, 9.00 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (22-22) and the Miami Marlins (18-28) at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 4-2 and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 26 and can be seen on FSN-FL and ROOT-PIT.
Locke is 1-2 with a 3.62 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a quality Miami offense which is batting .260 this season. Starling Marte (.284, 22 Rs, 9 HRs, 30 RBIs, 7 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4. Urena went 2.0 innings, surrendering three runs in a 5-4 defeat to the Mets in his last outing. Giancarlo Stanton (.234, 27 Rs, 13 HRs, 42 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Pittsburgh is a -150 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Pirates have an overall money line of -460 and a record as the favorite of 17-13. Pittsburgh's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 6.5 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Pirates, who have a team ERA of only 3.13. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Pirates, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.8.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 8-11 record and an overall money line of -1,122. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 2.8 during that stretch. When it comes to issuing walks, the Marlins have the fifth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.9 walks allowed per game.
The Pirates have the edge in the season series, 1-0. Locke (LHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 5-2 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
Miami has won 37% (7-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Pittsburgh has won 41% (7-10) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 2-4 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-17. The Pirates have a 4-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 27th when it comes to home runs, hitting 29 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 38.
Ranking eighth, Pittsburgh is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.44 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.87.
Pittsburgh and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Pittsburgh sits at 24th with an OPS of .686 and Miami ranks 25th with an OPS of .678.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 8-15, well-matched with the Pirates who are 7-14 when allowing at least one homer.