Mike Leake (2-3, 4.14 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (19-26) meet Kyle Kendrick (1-6, 6.58 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (18-26) in the last of a three-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 2-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 12:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 27 and will air on MLB Network.
Leake has a 6.46 ERA and a 1-1 record in his career against the Rockies, and is up against a solid Colorado offense that's hitting .267 on the year. In his career against the Reds, Kendrick is 3-4 with a 4.34 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Cincinnati offense that's batting just .237. DJ LeMahieu (.331, 16 Rs, 2 HRs, 23 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Cincinnati is a -138 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Reds have a 10-8 record and overall money line at -839. The Reds will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Cincinnati has only averaged 2.7 runs per game compared to the 3.7 they've averaged on the season. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 44 steals. Cincinnati's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Reds have given up an average of 6.2 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.5 runs per game. An area where the Reds are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average 8.9 K's per home game.
Moving on to the away team, the Rockies come into this game with a win percentage of .448 when playing as the underdog (13-16) and an overall money line of -521. They sport the fourth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.3 runs per game.
This game will feature Kendrick (RHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 14-20 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Leake will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 16-18 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
The Rockies lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Reds are 8-8. The Rockies are 7-8 in close games this season.
The Reds and the Rockies are both 1-3 in games that go into extra innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Rockies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have a 7-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 12-5. The Rockies have a 13-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 166 this season. Colorado ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 188.
Ranking 29th, Colorado is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 98 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 11th with 146.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 16-13, well-matched with the Rockies who are 15-12 when hitting one or more homers.