Marco Estrada (1-3, 3.90 ERA) and Jeff Samardzija (4-2, 4.28 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (22-26) and the Chicago White Sox (19-24) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 10-9 and Toronto leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 12:37 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 27 and can be seen on CSN-CHI and RSN.
Estrada pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out five and walking three in a 4-3 defeat to the Mariners. Josh Donaldson (.315, 40 Rs, 12 HRs, 33 RBIs, 2 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 4 for 4 with five runs, two home runs, and four RBIs. When pitching against the Blue Jays, Samardzija is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and five strikeouts. Avisail Garcia (.327, 20 Rs, 4 HRs, 18 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 1 yesterday.
Toronto is a slim -108 favorite at home against Chicago. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently nine runs. The Blue Jays have an overall money line of -689 and a record as the favorite of 13-9. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.2 runs per game. The Blue Jays lead the MLB in extra base hits with 165. Toronto is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.4 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses that come to the Rogers Centre have been stifled by the Blue Jays, who have a team ERA of only 3.44 at home.
As for their opponent, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of -666 and a disappointing record of 8-13 as the underdog. Offensively, the White Sox have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.5 runs per game by averaging 2.6 during that stretch. Chicago is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.0 per game, ranking fourth in the AL.
The Blue Jays have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Blue Jays have a 15-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Samardzija takes the mound. Estrada (RHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 16-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Under
The White Sox lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Blue Jays are 3-10. The White Sox are 9-6 in close games this season.
Chicago has won 50% (7-7) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 57% (12-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Blue Jays are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 10 runs. The White Sox have a 0-6 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Blue Jays have a slight leg up on the White Sox, as the Blue Jays have won their last three games while the White Sox have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the White Sox are 15-4. The Blue Jays have a 19-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 252 this season. Chicago ranks 29th with 156 runs.
Ranking 28th, Chicago is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 102 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at fourth with 159.
The Blue Jays are 19-12 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The White Sox are 9-10 when they hit at least one homer.