Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Chris Archer (5-4, 2.40 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (24-23) go up against Felix Hernandez (7-1, 2.19 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (22-23) in the last of a three-game series at Tropicana Field. The Mariners won the last game 7-6 and Seattle leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 1:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 27 and will air on ROOT-NW and SunSports.
In his most recent outing, Archer pitched 5.1 innings, allowing one run, striking out eight and walking four in a 5-2 victory over the Athletics. Evan Longoria (.289, 25 Rs, 5 HRs, 23 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Rays, Hernandez is 5-2 with a 2.12 ERA, 110 strikeouts and 27 walks. Nelson Cruz (.343, 30 Rs, 17 HRs, 35 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Mariners, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Tampa Bay is a +115 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is six runs. When playing as the underdog, the Rays have a 12-11 record and overall money line at +52. They are 1-3 as the underdog over their last 10 games. The Rays lead the AL in ERA with a 3.36 team average. The Rays are fourth in the league in WHIP at 1.18. An area where the Rays are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 9.2 K's per home game.
Across the field, the Mariners have a record of 15-14 when they are favored and are -583 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 6-4. The Mariners are known for their power, smashing 57 home runs. Switching gears to Seattle's pitching staff, they have the fifth-lowest ERA in the AL at 3.73. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 7.8 strikeouts per game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 2-0 against the Rays. The Rays will take on a right-hander (Hernandez) in this game and have a 19-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the right-hander Archer. They sport a 16-18 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Mariners won by a margin of one run. The Rays are 5-9 in one-run games. The Mariners have a 12-9 record in close games.
When leading after 7 innings, Seattle is 8-6, while Tampa Bay is 9-8.
The Tampa Bay batters brought in a solid 12 hits last game. Seattle has a record of 4-4 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
It looks like the Mariners have a slight leg up on the Rays, as the Mariners have won their last two games while the Rays have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 11-8. The Rays have a 19-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Tampa Bay and Seattle both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Tampa Bay sits at 21st with 179 runs this season and Seattle ranks 26th with 172.
Ranking 19th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 122 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top half at 14th with 138.
The Rays are 16-12 when they hit at least one home run. The Mariners perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 19-13 record.