Shelby Miller (5-1, 1.50 ERA) is on the hill for the Atlanta Braves (23-23) as they square off against Chris Heston (4-3, 4.33 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (28-20) in the first of a four-game series at AT&T Park. Action begins at 10:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 28 and can be seen on SPSO and CSN-BAY.
Heston pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering six runs, striking out two and walking two in a 10-8 win over the Rockies. Buster Posey (.303, 21 Rs, 7 HRs, 24 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Miller is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA against the Giants in his career. He takes on a good San Francisco offense that's batting .274. Cameron Maybin (.261, 17 Rs, 5 HRs, 19 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Braves, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
San Francisco is a -137 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Giants have an overall money line of +726 and a record as the favorite of 12-12. The Giants have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to AT&T Park have been stifled by the Giants, who have a team ERA of only 2.73 at home.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 14-18 record and an overall money line of +154. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.5 per game. Moving on to Atlanta's pitching staff and defense, the The Braves allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fifth in the NL.
The Giants have a 20-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Miller takes the mound. Heston (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 20-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
The Braves won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Giants are 10-5. The Braves are 9-8 in close games this season.
The Giants are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 1-1 in such matchups.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Giants have an 11-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 17-6. The Giants have a 23-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th in runs, Atlanta has earned 185 this season. San Francisco ranks 15th with 198 runs.
San Francisco and Atlanta both rank in the top half of the league in walks. San Francisco sits at 15th with 141 this season and Atlanta ranks 14th with 142.
When the Giants hit at least one home run, they are 18-8, well-matched with the Braves who are 13-7 when hitting one or more homers.