Miguel Gonzalez (5-3, 3.83 ERA) and Nathan Karns (3-2, 3.71 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (22-24) and the Tampa Bay Rays (24-24) at Camden Yards. The Rays come into this series in the midst of a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 29 and can be seen on SunSports and MASN.
Gonzalez is 5-4 with a 3.42 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and 52 strikeouts against the Rays. Jimmy Paredes (.340, 22 Rs, 6 HRs, 25 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Karns is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He is up against a quality Baltimore offense that's batting .258. David DeJesus (.322, 14 Rs, 4 HRs, 18 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 Wednesday.
Baltimore is a -128 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of -394 and a record as the favorite of 14-10. Within its division, Baltimore has a 9-6 record as favorite and a 14-15 record SU. The Orioles have seen an uptick in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They average 4.3 runs per game on the season.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 12-12 record and an overall money line of -161. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 9-7 record against fellow AL East members, and a 16-13 record SU. The The Rays allow just 3.6 runs per game, ranking them first in the AL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Rays are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.16 for the season. The Rays have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.5 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Orioles lead the season series, 4-2. The Orioles have a 17-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Karns takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 19-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Orioles are 14-15 against their divisional rivals, while the Rays are 16-13 against their division.
When the Orioles play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Rays are 1-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Rays are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 16-6. The Rays have a 19-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, Tampa Bay has earned 179 this season. Baltimore ranks 15th with 200 runs.
Ranking 22nd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 116 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 139.
When the Orioles hit at least one home run, they are 18-13, well-matched with the Rays who are 16-12 when hitting one or more homers.