Jon Niese (3-5, 4.08 ERA) and Tom Koehler (3-3, 3.44 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the New York Mets (27-22) and the Miami Marlins (19-30) at Citi Field. The Marlins won the last game 4-3 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 30 and can be seen on FSN-FL and PIX11.
Niese is 5-5 with a 4.19 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a quality Miami offense which is batting .257 this season. Lucas Duda (.304, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 24 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Koehler is 1-4 with a 3.48 ERA when pitching against the Mets. He is up against a below-average New York offense which is hitting just .237 this season. Dee Gordon (.374, 28 Rs, 14 RBIs, 20 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
New York is a -133 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +625 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 22-4. New York is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 5-5 SU record in its last ten outings. Opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 3.30. The Mets are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.15 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mets, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.8.
Over in the other dugout, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -1,422 and a disappointing record of 8-14 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-3 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 2.7 during that stretch.
The Mets lead the season series, 5-3. The Mets have a 23-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Koehler takes the mound. Niese (LHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 5-3 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 20-10 against their divisional rivals, while the Marlins are 13-16.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 13-7, while Miami is 7-14.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 5-12 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-19. The Mets have an 8-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, Miami has hit 32 this season. New York ranks 17th with 43 home runs.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.77 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.81.
New York and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 26th with an OPS of .666 and Miami ranks 25th with an OPS of .671.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 9-16, well-matched with the Mets who are 10-16 when allowing at least one homer.