Raisel Iglesias (1-1, 4.26 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (20-27) go up against Gio Gonzalez (4-2, 4.53 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (28-20) in the second of a three-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 5-2 and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 30 and will air on MASN2 and FSN-OH.
In his last start, Iglesias pitched 3.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out six and walking three in a 5-2 loss to the Indians. Todd Frazier (.266, 30 Rs, 15 HRs, 29 RBIs, 6 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Reds, Gonzalez is 2-1 with a 1.06 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Cincinnati offense that's batting just .238. Bryce Harper (.329, 41 Rs, 18 HRs, 43 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Cincinnati is a +119 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Reds perform poorly as an underdog with an 8-18 record and have an overall money line of -892. They have struggled as the underdog over their last 10 games, going 0-6. Cincinnati has averaged 2.7 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 3.7. The Reds are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 46 steals.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Nationals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .649 when playing as the favorite (24-13) and an overall money line of +404. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 8-2 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 7-1 record. They sport the top-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.7 runs per game. The Nationals average 3.3 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. Switching gears to Washington's pitching staff, they have the fifth-lowest ERA in the NL at 3.53.
The only other game between the two teams went Cincinnati's way. The Reds will take on a left-hander (Gonzalez) in this game and have a 5-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Nationals will be the right-hander Iglesias. They sport a 20-16 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 14-9, while Cincinnati is 7-12.
The Reds managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Nationals who are coming in with a 9-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 5-20. The Nationals have a 6-19 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top 10 of the league based on total home runs this season, Cincinnati ranks sixth with 55 homers and Washington is seventh with 54.
Ranking 13th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.85 per game. Washington ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.60.
Ranking 19th, Cincinnati is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.699). Washington ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .742.
The Nationals are 8-11 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Reds are 11-20 when they allow at least one homer.