Kyle Lohse (3-5, 5.80 ERA) and Jeremy Hellickson (2-3, 5.33 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (16-33) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (22-25) at Miller Park. The Brewers lost the last game 7-5, continuing a six-game losing streak. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 30 and can be seen on FSN-AZ and FS1.
Ryan Braun (.270, 29 Rs, 12 HRs, 37 RBIs, 6 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs and one stolen base. When pitching against the Brewers, Hellickson is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and three strikeouts. Paul Goldschmidt (.337, 36 Rs, 12 HRs, 38 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Diamondbacks, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs.
Milwaukee is a -120 favorite against Arizona and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,545 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 5-12.
In games where it is the underdog, Arizona has a 15-18 record and an overall money line of -171. Offensively, they average 4.6 runs per game, which is good for second in the NL. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, ranking second in the NL with 9.4 hits per game. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 43 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB. Arizona's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL at pitching on the road, with a 3.85 ERA.
The Diamondbacks have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Brewers have a bad 6-14 record at home (12-25 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Hellickson takes the mound. Nelson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 16-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
Milwaukee has won 35% (7-13) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Arizona has won 71% (10-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 12 strikeouts. The Diamondbacks have a record of 2-2 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 5-27. The Diamondbacks have a 4-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 14th in home runs, Arizona has hit 45 this season. Milwaukee ranks 10th with 49 home runs.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.44 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at second with 9.41.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.665). Arizona ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .727.
The Diamondbacks are 12-20 when they allow at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 9-24 record.