Tim Lincecum (5-2, 2.56 ERA) and Williams Perez (0-0, 4.05 ERA) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the San Francisco Giants (30-20) and the Atlanta Braves (23-25) at AT&T Park. The Giants won the last game 4-2, continuing a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 10:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 30 and can be seen on FSN-S and NBC Bay Area.
Lincecum is 9-6 with a 2.76 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and 103 strikeouts against the Braves. Brandon Crawford (.301, 25 Rs, 6 HRs, 33 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Perez went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking one in a 6-3 defeat to the Dodgers in his most recent start. Cameron Maybin (.260, 17 Rs, 5 HRs, 20 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
San Francisco is a -169 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Giants have an overall money line of +826 and a record as the favorite of 13-12. The Giants have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. The Giants lead the NL in hits with a phenomenal 9.6 per game. San Francisco strikes out the least of any team in the NL at home, with only 6.1 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to AT&T Park have been stifled by the Giants, who have a team ERA of only 2.62 at home. The Giants are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.8 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 15-19 record and an overall money line of +224. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 2.6 during that stretch. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.7 per game. Shifting to the pitching staff and defense, the The Braves allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fifth in the NL.
The Giants have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Giants have a 21-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Perez takes the mound. Lincecum (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 21-20 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
Atlanta has won 33% (9-18) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Francisco has won 54% (7-6) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Braves have an 8-13 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Giants have a slight leg up on the Braves, as the Giants have won their last five games while the Braves have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 17-6. The Giants have a 25-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd, Atlanta sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 187 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 12th with 209.
Both San Francisco and Atlanta are tied at 14th in walks with a total of 145 this season.
When the Giants hit at least one home run, they are 20-8, well-matched with the Braves who are 13-8 when hitting one or more homers.