Tyson Ross (2-4, 3.84 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (24-26) go up against Charlie Morton (1-0, 2.57 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (25-23) in the third of a four-game series at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 6-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 10:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 30 and will air on ROOT-PIT and FSN-SD.
In his last start, Ross pitched 6.0 innings, allowing two runs (one unearned), striking out seven and walking one in a 4-3 loss to the Angels. Justin Upton (.300, 33 Rs, 12 HRs, 37 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Padres, Morton is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA, 31 strikeouts and 11 walks. Starling Marte (.278, 26 Rs, 10 HRs, 33 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
San Diego, a -120 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Pittsburgh. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Padres perform well as a favorite with a 12-7 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-301). An area where the Padres are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.6 K's per game.
Switching gears, the Pirates come into this game with a weak win percentage of .308 when playing as the underdog (4-9) and an overall money line of -60. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 8-2 SU and have an unblemished 1-0 record when they were an underdog to win. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.7 runs per game, above their 4.3 season average. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 8.2 hits per road game, good for fifth in the NL. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 8.4 strikeouts per game.
The Padres will take on a right-hander (Morton) in this game and have a 17-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Ross will take the mound against the Pirates, who have a 22-18 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, San Diego is 14-11, while Pittsburgh is 9-11.
The Padres are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Pirates have a record of 5-10 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 4-21. The Pirates have a 4-14 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, San Diego has hit 41 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 20th with 42 home runs.
San Diego and Pittsburgh both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. San Diego sits at ninth with 8.53 hits per game and Pittsburgh ranks sixth with 8.70.
Ranking 23rd, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.681). Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .697.
The Pirates are 8-15 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Padres are 14-20 when they allow at least one homer.