In a game that could be a shootout, Drew Hutchison (4-1, 5.12 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (23-28) are in Minnesota to take on Ricky Nolasco (5-1, 5.12 ERA) and the Twins (29-19). This is the last of a three-game series at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 3-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and can be seen on RSN and FSN-N.
Nolasco is 0-0 with a 4.15 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, and goes up against a quality Toronto offense which is batting .260 this season. Torii Hunter (.280, 25 Rs, 7 HRs, 30 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI. When pitching against the Twins, Hutchison is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and four strikeouts. Josh Donaldson (.313, 42 Rs, 14 HRs, 38 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Minnesota is a slim -114 favorite at home against Toronto. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. The Twins have recorded an overall money line of +1,508 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 6-3. Minnesota has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Twins have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the AL in offense with 4.6 runs per game. The Twins lead the AL in hits at home with an impressive 9.5 per game. As for the pitchers, the Twins are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.3 walks per game so far this season.
Over in the other dugout, Toronto is coming in with an overall money line of -613 and a disappointing record of 9-17 as the underdog. Offensively, they average 5.2 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the AL with 8.7 hits per game.
The Twins have a 13-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hutchison takes the mound. Nolasco (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 16-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Twins are 10-6. The Blue Jays are 3-11 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Minnesota is 8-6, while Toronto is 12-11.
The Twins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Blue Jays who are coming in with a 13-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 3-21. The Twins have a 5-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 25th in home runs, Minnesota has hit 38 this season. Toronto ranks fifth with 60 home runs.
The Twins and the Blue Jays both average 8.68 hits per game.
Ranking 17th, Minnesota is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.699). Toronto ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .765.
The Blue Jays are 13-22 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Twins are 16-14 when they allow at least one homer.